Intra-Africa Trade: Will the AfCFTA Unleash Africa’s Development Potential?

Chapter 1: Africa Continental Free Trade Agreement (AfCFTA) – Structure, Objectives and Context

This chapter provides an exposition of the AfCFTA, its key elements and its objectives. First, the structure of the AfCFTA agreement is presented. Thereafter, the chapter provides the precolonial intra-Africa trade routes and context that spans over two thousand years. Light is cast on geopolitical events that shaped the establishment of intra-Africa trade treaties, the African Union and eventually the AfCFTA. The prevailing theme that shows up in the African Union (AU) texts, the Abuja Treaty, and AfCFTA texts, is the exigency to unite Africa, to integrate Africa and boost intra-Africa trade. I should point out upfront that the vast historical context of intra-Africa trade cannot be captured in one chapter, let alone in one manuscript. Thus, reference to the precolonial and colonial intra-Africa trade routes cited in the chapter does not diminish the criticality of a multitude of intra-Africa trade routes not cited that shaped the establishment of the AfCFTA. The contextual details provided in this chapter are only an attempt to expand the contexts that shaped the establishment of the AfCFTA beyond the formation of the OAU in 1963, beyond the signing off of the Abuja treaty in 1991, and beyond the establishment of the colonial and post-colonial regional economic communities. Appreciating the contexts of intra-Africa trade provides a backdrop to understand what is at stake in achieving the African Union’s aspirations of a prosperous, integrated, united and peaceful Africa. To address historical bias, I have attempted to provide evidence from a variety of sources, and I have also provided different alternative views on the cultural and historical context of the AfCFTA. For instance, in the last part of the chapter, I highlight some of the important critiques of AfCFTA, especially what scholars have presented as a neocolonial approach to integrating Africa.

The AfCFTA Objectives and its Key Elements

The AfCFTA is a flagship project of the African Union Agenda 2063, with a mandate to create a single continental market that brings together 1.3 billion people, a combined GDP of approximately US$ 3.4 trillion, 54 countries, and eight regional economic communities (African Union, 2018). The AfCFTA is expected to expand the size of Africa’s economy to US$29 trillion by 2050 (Afreximbank, 2023). The Agreement further seeks to liberalise trade among participating countries in order to deepen economic integration and to enhance competitiveness through economies of scale, while promoting industrialisation and sustainable and inclusive socio-economic development. The AfCFTA is also a binding legal instrument that legitimises the creation of a single continental market for goods and services as well as people and investments (African Union, 2022). All African Union (AU) countries, except Eritrea, had become signatories to the Africa Continental Free Trade Agreement (AfCFTA), which came into force on 30 May 2019. With 54 out of the 55 AU member States having signed the AfCFTA agreement, the trade policy is the largest Free Trade Agreement in the world in terms of participating countries since the formation of the World Trade Organization in 1994 (Afreximbank, 2023).
The fundamental objective of the AfCFTA is to boost intra-Africa trade, which is currently sitting at 16.6 percent of the total African trade (AfCFTA, 2022). Intra-Africa trade is envisaged to be achieved by operationalising trade instruments, Protocols and Annexes that constitute the Agreement. Figure 1 presents the AfCFTA Framework consisting of eight Protocols: (1) Protocol on Trade in Goods with nine Annexes: (2) Protocol on Trade in Services with five Annexes; (3) Protocol on Rules and Procedures for the Settlement of Disputes with three Annexes; (4) Protocol on Competition Policy; (5) Protocol on Investment; (6) Protocol on Intellectual Property Rights; (7) Protocol on Youth and Gender in Trade; (8) Protocol on Digital Trade.
Figure 1 The AfCFTA Framework

Source: Adapted from Republic of South Africa: Department of Trade, Industry and Competition 2024

The Protocols and Annexes make provision for the operationalisation of the seven AfCFTA objectives: (1) to eliminate tariffs and non-tariff barriers to trade in goods progressively; (2) Agreement to establish the AfCFTA Protocol on Trade in Goods Protocol on Trade in Services Protocol on Investment Protocol on Rules and Procedures for the Settlement of Disputes Protocol on Youth and Gender in Trade Protocol on Intellectual Property Rights Protocol on Competition Policy Annexes o Schedule of Specific Commitments o MFN exemptions o Air transport service o List of priority sectors o Framework Document on Regulatory Cooperation Annexes o Working Procedures of the Panel o Expert Review o Code of Conduct for Arbitrators and Panelists Annexes o Schedules of Tariff Concessions o Rules of Origin o Customs Cooperation and Mutual Administrative Assistance o Non-Tariff Barriers o Trade Facilitation o Technical Barriers to Trade o Sanitary and Phytosanitary Measures o Transit o Trade Remedies: Guidelines on the implementation of trade remedies Protocol on Digital Trade liberalise trade in services progressively; (3) cooperate on investment, intellectual property rights and competition policy; (4) cooperate on all trade-related areas; (5) cooperate on customs matters and implementation of trade facilitation measures; (6) establish a mechanism for the settlement of disputes concerning members’ rights and obligations; (7) establish and maintain an institutional framework for the implementation and administration of the AfCFTA. The link between the AfCFTA to the African Union’s Agenda 2063 finds expression in Article of the Agreement Establishing the African Continental Free Trade Area, which points to the deepening of the economic integration of the African Continent (African Union, 2022). Indeed, the African Union’s 2063 Agenda Framework puts forward Eight Priorities of the 2063 Agenda in a document titled “The Africa We Want” as outlined in Box 1.
There are two groups of countries under the AfCFTA trade regime – the Least Developed Countries (LDCs) and non-LDCs. The LDCs are given a longer period to liberalise trade due to the development challenges they face. They are allowed 10 years to liberalise 90% of their tariff lines in the first phase, and 13 years for their sensitive products, which constitute 7% of their tariff lines. Non-LDCs, on the other hand, have five years to liberalise 90% of their tariff lines and 10 years to liberalise their sensitive tariff lines.
  • A Prosperous Africa, based on inclusive growth and sustainable development
  • An integrated continent, politically united, based on the ideals of Pan Africanism and Vision of Africa’s Renaissance
  • An Africa of good Governance, Democracy, Respect for Human Rights, Justice and rule of law
  • A peaceful and secure Africa
  • Africa with a strong Cultural Identity, Common Heritage, Values and Ethics
  • An Africa whose Development is people driven, especially relying on the potential offered by its Women, Youth, and well cared for Children
  • An Africa as a strong United and Influen􀆟al Global Player
Source: African Union (2024). 2063 AU Agenda Framework Document – The Africa We Want

The Historical Context that Shaped the Establishment of the AfCFTA

Trade, throughout history, has been the means through which human interaction and the exchange of ideas and commodities have been made possible. In a study commissioned by Afreximbank (2017), Akyeampong traces trade to historical events that span over 10,000 years. This section focuses on intra-Africa trade routes that can be traced back to about 2000 years before colonisation, and trade routes during the process of decolonising Africa. To start off, let us define the concepts of colonisation and decolonisation. Without trying to simplify a concept covered in volumes of literature (see for example, Fanon, 1963; Golding 1994; Fanon, 1967; Mufwene 2002;) I submit a definition of colonisation provided by Hook (2004, p. 88 cited in Said’s 1978) work that views colonisation as a violent practice that dispossesses people of their native territory. “We get deeper insights into the meaning of colonialization when viewing it from the coloniser’s point of view aptly expressed by Albert Sarraut, the Colonial Minister for France (cited in Afreximbank 2023, p16).
Economically a colonial possession means to the home country simply a privileged market whence it will draw the raw materials it needs, dumping its own manufactures in return. Economic policy is reduced to rudimentary procedures of gathering crops and bartering them. Moreover, by strictly imposing on its colonial “dependency” the exclusive consumption of its manufactured products, the metropolis prevents any efforts to use or manufacture local raw material on the spot, and any contact with the rest of the world. The colony is forbidden to establish any industry, to improve itself by economic progress, to rise above the stage of producing raw materialism or to do business with the neighbouring territories for its own enrichment across the customs barriers erected by the metropolitan power.
Decolonisation, on the other hand, is the period coinciding with the end of the Second World War, characterised by agitations for independence and colonial powers eventually granting independence to former colonies. Snippets of the precolonial and colonial historical context of the trade routes provided below show that intra-Africa trade has been happening for thousands of years, with different transport and currency exchange modalities. To understand this rich history let us look at the trade routes that existed before colonialism and during colonial rule.